Session: Current Thinking in Age-Period-Cohort Analysis
Time: Thursday 7th July, 11:15 - 12:45
Convenor:
Professor David Voas (University of Essex)
Abstract Details
What causes social change? We often want to distinguish generational change from changes related to ageing or historical developments. This age-period-cohort (APC) problem has challenged social scientists for half a century.
We will 1) introduce the problem and review the methods traditionally used to address it, with particular attention to graphical interpretation; 2) discuss the recent innovation of using hierarchical (multilevel) modelling to identify the characteristics of periods and cohorts that help to produce the outcomes of interest; and 3) summarise the ongoing debate between proponents and critics of the new methods, with recommendations for researchers.
Presentation downloads
Presenter: Andrew Bell
The Hierarchical age-period-cohort model: why does it find the results that it finds?
Presenter: Kaat Smets
The level of the session is: Accessible
Presentation details
Presentation 1
Start time: 11:15
Presentation title: Visualising age, period and cohort effects
Presenter:
Professor David Voas (University of Essex)
Presentation 2
Start time: 11:45
Presentation title: The hierarchies of age-period-cohort research: political context and the development of generational turnout patterns
Presenter:
Dr Kaat Smets (Royal Holloway, University of London)
Presentation 3
Start time: 12:15
Presentation title: The hierarchical age-period-cohort model: lessons from an ongoing debate
Presenter:
Dr Andrew Bell (University of Sheffield)