RMF2010 Abstracts
Session: 20 - Tuesday 6th July PM (14.00 - 17.30)
Title: Research Methods for Population Projection
Name: John Stillwell
Affiliation: University of Leeds
Abstract Details
This session explores alternative methods that researchers adopt when producing population projections. The session is organised jointly by two ESRC investments - Understanding Population Trends and Processes (UPTAP) and the Centre of Population Change (CPC). Its focus will be twofold: (i) methods of projecting ethnic populations (continuing session 10's theme) and (ii) population modelling more generally. It will demonstrate the methods used to project the various components (fertility, mortality and migration) of ethnic population change and consider the construction of multistate (matrix) population model, adding uncertainty to population modelling, and parameterising the age patterns of demographic variables in projection models.
Presentation downloads
Presenter: Paul Norman
The future ethnic mix of UK local populations, 2007 to 2051
Presenter: Pia Wohland
Alternative futures for the UK's local ethnic populations: sensitivity and scenario analyses
Presentation details
1
Start time: 14:00
Presentation title: Estimating fertility by ethnic group and other subpopulations
Author: Sylvie Dubuc
Affiliation:University of Oxford
2
Start time:
14:25
Presentation
title:Alternative futures for the UK's local ethnic populations: sensitivty and scenario analyses
Author:Paul Norman, Pia Wohland, Peter Boden and Phil Rees
Affiliation:
3
Start time:
14:50
Presentation
title:The future ethnic mix of UK local populations, 2007 to 2057
Author:Pia Wohland, Paul Norman, Peter Boden and Phil Rees
Affiliation:University of Leeds
4
Start time:
15:15
Presentation
title:Discussion
Author:
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5
Start time:
15:30
Presentation
title:Tea
Author:
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6
Start time:
16:00
Presentation
title:Bayesian forecasting and issues of uncertainty
Author:Jakub Bijak
Affiliation:University of Southampton
7
Start time:
16:25
Presentation
title:Dynamic multistate population models
Author:Peter Smith
Affiliation:University of Southampton
8
Start time:
16:50
Presentation
title:Modelling the age patterns of demographic events
Author:Guy Abel
Affiliation:University of Southampton
9
Start time:
17:15
Presentation
title:Discussion
Author:
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