The Inquiry into the pre-election polls for the 2015 General Election: an open meeting

Date:

19/06/2015

Organised by:

NCRM

Presenter:

Professor Patrick Sturgis, NCRM, University of Southampton

Level:

Entry (no or almost no prior knowledge)

Contact:

Jacqui Thorp
Training and Capacity Building Co-ordinator
NCRM, University of Southampton
Tel: 02380594069
Email: jmh6@soton.ac.uk

Map:

View in Google Maps  (EC1Y 8LX)

Venue:

Royal Statistical Society, 12 Errol Street, London

Description:

The pre-election polls significantly under-estimated the size of the Conservative lead over Labour at the 2015 General Election, with nearly all the final polls calling the ‘horse race’ as a dead heat. The failure to predict the Conservative majority has led many commentators to question the value and robustness of polling methodology, with some even calling for polls to be banned in the final weeks preceding an election. In response to these events, the British Polling Council and the Market Research Society have instigated an independent inquiry into the causes of the discrepancy between the final polls and the election result, to be chaired by Professor Patrick Sturgis of the University of Southampton. At this afternoon event, the inquiry panel will set out its terms of reference and timetable. Consideration will be given to some of the possible causes of the discrepancy, as well as to emerging evidence. The meeting will conclude with an open discussion, at which stakeholders and interested parties will have the opportunity to feed into the inquiries evidence gathering and deliberations.

Please note this seminar will start at 1.30pm and the aim is to finish around 5.30pm.

Cost:

This seminar is free to attend but please register using the link below

Website and registration:

Region:

Greater London

Keywords:

Survey Research, Survey Research

Related publications and presentations:

Survey Research

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